Sporting CP vs Fabril Barreiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.9%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.8%
4.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
14%
22%
65%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
SEI
1 - 3
SCP
23%
22%
55%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
81%
12%
8%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fabril Barreiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1964 |
FAB
3 - 1
VIT
50%
23%
27%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
BEL
1 - 1
FAB
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
FAB
2 - 1
FCB
75%
15%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
ACA
2 - 1
FAB
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |