Sporting CP vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.95
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11%
5.3%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1975 |
SLI
1 - 2
SCP
20%
25%
54%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
ATL
2 - 2
SCP
22%
27%
52%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1975 |
SCP
2 - 0
BMA
83%
12%
5%
|
87 | 57 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
LEX
0 - 0
SCP
17%
27%
56%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1975 |
BOA
1 - 0
SCP
35%
26%
39%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 1975 |
EST
1 - 0
FAB
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1975 |
SPB
2 - 1
EST
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1975 |
EST
2 - 0
FAR
62%
23%
15%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1953 |
EST
0 - 1
VIT
65%
18%
17%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
VIT
3 - 2
EST
55%
20%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |