Sporting CP vs Estoril analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.5%
Win probability
3.8
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.3%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.9%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
3.4%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.6%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.4%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.6%
9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9%
6.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
SCP
4 - 0
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BEL
4 - 3
SCP
35%
22%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
ATM
3 - 1
SCP
60%
17%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
6 - 4
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
1 - 1
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Estoril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1951 |
EST
2 - 3
BEL
47%
23%
30%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
FCB
3 - 3
EST
44%
21%
35%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
EST
0 - 3
ATL
62%
18%
20%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
EST
3 - 1
BOA
76%
13%
11%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
BOA
1 - 5
EST
47%
20%
33%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |