Sporting CP vs Esperança de Lagos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.5%
Win probability
3.65
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.6%
7-0
3.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
6%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
9.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
12.2%
4-0
13.6%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
17.4%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
2.3%
2-2
0.7%
3-3
0.1%
0
5%
1.3%
Win probability
0.35
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
0.4%
2-3
0.1%
-1
1.1%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0%
-2
0.2%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1987 |
SCP
4 - 2
BEL
82%
13%
6%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1987 |
POR
1 - 1
SCP
23%
27%
50%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1987 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
78%
15%
7%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
SAL
0 - 0
SCP
20%
26%
55%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
SCP
0 - 0
RIO
79%
14%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Esperança de Lagos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ACA
4 - 1
EDL
74%
15%
11%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1981 |
EDL
1 - 2
SLB
18%
24%
58%
|
32 | 88 | 56 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1981 |
EDL
4 - 3
AMO
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 58 | 28 | +2 |