Champions League 1/16
Global 3-1
Sporting CP vs Dinamo Zagreb analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
9.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 1
GDA
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DZG
1 - 0
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 1982 |
AMO
0 - 2
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1982 |
SCP
4 - 2
RIO
84%
11%
5%
|
85 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1982 |
FCP
0 - 0
SCP
63%
21%
17%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Dinamo Zagreb
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1982 |
DZG
1 - 0
SCP
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
DZG
89%
8%
3%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
DZG
0 - 0
SLB
36%
25%
39%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1979 |
DZG
0 - 0
PRG
65%
21%
14%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1979 |
PRG
1 - 0
DZG
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |