Sporting CP vs Desportivo Aves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
3.33
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
6.2%
6-1
2.3%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.9%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.9%
4.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
PEN
0 - 1
SCP
13%
25%
62%
|
86 | 59 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
SAL
2 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
56%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SCP
0 - 0
SLB
47%
24%
29%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
SCP
3 - 0
ATH
62%
24%
15%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SPC
0 - 5
SCP
14%
22%
64%
|
85 | 61 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Desportivo Aves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
AVE
0 - 0
BEL
53%
26%
21%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 1
ACA
52%
25%
23%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SPB
1 - 1
AVE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
2 - 3
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
AVE
0 - 0
POR
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |