Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 1-2
Sporting CP vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.91
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.8%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.4%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
7.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
TOR
3 - 0
SCP
13%
21%
66%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
LGC
1 - 1
SCP
16%
21%
64%
|
86 | 54 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SCP
1 - 2
VIT
74%
15%
11%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SEI
0 - 0
SCP
14%
19%
67%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1964 |
SCP
3 - 2
VST
77%
14%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1964 |
IPS
1 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1964 |
CAR
1 - 3
NOR
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1964 |
CRY
0 - 0
CAR
47%
25%
28%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1964 |
CAR
4 - 0
BCF
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 1964 |
LEY
1 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |