Sporting CP vs Carcavelinhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.67
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.7%
6-0
3.3%
7-1
1.7%
8-2
0.4%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.4%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
3.2%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
5.2%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.9%
8.9%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
8.9%
5.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
SCP
7 - 1
ACA
91%
6%
3%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
BEL
5 - 6
SCP
52%
20%
28%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 1
FCP
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 2
SLB
57%
19%
24%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
2 - 2
SCP
27%
20%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Carcavelinhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 0
APO
61%
20%
19%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
84%
10%
6%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACA
62%
20%
19%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 0
BEL
18%
18%
64%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAR
89%
7%
4%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |