Europa League 1/16
Global 3-4
Sporting CP vs Budapesti Vasas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.6%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
6.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
17%
26%
57%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
4 - 1
UFT
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
VAS
3 - 1
SCP
36%
25%
39%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 1975 |
FCP
2 - 3
SCP
44%
26%
30%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1975 |
SCP
1 - 0
VST
67%
19%
13%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1975 |
VAS
3 - 1
SCP
36%
25%
39%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1975 |
VAS
4 - 0
LIN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1975 |
LIN
2 - 0
VAS
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
SUN
1 - 0
VAS
57%
22%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
VAS
0 - 2
SUN
58%
21%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |