Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SPB
2 - 2
SCP
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
BOA
2 - 1
SCP
29%
28%
43%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
73%
15%
12%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
SCP
4 - 1
ESP
83%
12%
5%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
VIT
84%
11%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1980 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
16%
28%
56%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 0
MFF
80%
14%
6%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
SLB
3 - 0
ACV
94%
4%
1%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1980 |
SLB
2 - 1
SCP
73%
15%
12%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |