Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
26%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1976 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
BOA
3 - 1
SCP
39%
26%
36%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
SCP
0 - 3
SLB
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1976 |
SCP
1 - 0
VAR
89%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
87%
9%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1976 |
SLB
2 - 3
FCP
73%
16%
11%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1976 |
SCP
0 - 3
SLB
54%
23%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1976 |
VST
0 - 4
SLB
34%
26%
41%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
SLB
5 - 1
FAB
90%
8%
3%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1976 |
VIT
0 - 3
SLB
29%
26%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |