Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
FCB
1 - 1
SCP
14%
26%
60%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1967 |
FIO
1 - 1
SCP
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
SCP
2 - 1
VIT
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1967 |
SCP
2 - 1
FIO
52%
23%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1967 |
VAR
1 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
57%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
ACA
79%
13%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 4
SLB
9%
15%
75%
|
87 | 58 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1967 |
SLB
3 - 1
FAB
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1967 |
ASS
1 - 0
SLB
52%
21%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
ASS
76%
14%
11%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |