Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
42.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SAN
1 - 1
SCP
25%
25%
50%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
52%
25%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1967 |
SPB
3 - 1
SCP
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
ACA
1 - 0
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
SCP
3 - 1
ATL
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
6 - 2
VAR
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1967 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
18%
22%
59%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1967 |
SLB
7 - 0
VIT
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1967 |
SLB
2 - 0
BMA
95%
3%
1%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1967 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |