Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
25.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
OLH
1 - 1
SCP
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
5 - 1
ACA
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
BEL
1 - 0
SCP
29%
23%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
SCP
2 - 1
LGC
84%
11%
6%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1963 |
FCB
1 - 5
SCP
13%
21%
67%
|
88 | 54 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 1963 |
FEY
0 - 0
SLB
49%
21%
30%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1963 |
SLB
6 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1963 |
FEI
1 - 6
SLB
10%
16%
75%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1963 |
SLB
2 - 0
LEX
85%
10%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1963 |
ATL
0 - 3
SLB
17%
21%
62%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |