Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
30.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
SPC
1 - 0
SCP
27%
24%
49%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
SCP
1 - 1
ACA
82%
12%
7%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
CAL
0 - 0
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
86 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
SCP
4 - 1
VIT
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
FAB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 1959 |
SLB
4 - 0
LGC
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
VST
2 - 2
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1959 |
SLB
1 - 1
FCP
55%
21%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1959 |
SPB
2 - 4
SLB
25%
22%
53%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1959 |
SLB
6 - 0
FCB
81%
12%
7%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |