Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19.6%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
VIT
1 - 2
SCP
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
SCP
7 - 2
VST
88%
8%
5%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
ATL
0 - 1
SCP
22%
21%
57%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
SCP
0 - 1
ACA
90%
6%
4%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
FCB
0 - 0
SCP
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
0 - 1
SPB
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1954 |
BEL
1 - 2
SLB
36%
22%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 1
SPC
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 1954 |
FAB
0 - 1
SLB
12%
16%
72%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1954 |
SLB
11 - 0
BOA
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |