Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
20.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.5%
20.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
FCB
1 - 1
SCP
20%
20%
60%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
SCP
5 - 0
VIT
90%
7%
4%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
ORI
2 - 4
SCP
10%
15%
76%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SCP
7 - 0
ATL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
BOA
1 - 3
SCP
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 2
FCP
78%
13%
9%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1954 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
19%
20%
61%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1954 |
SPC
2 - 2
SLB
20%
21%
59%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1954 |
SLB
2 - 1
FCB
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1954 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
18%
20%
62%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |