Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.2%
17%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17%
21.9%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
SCP
5 - 1
ATL
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCP
81%
11%
8%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
BOA
3 - 0
SCP
19%
19%
62%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
SCP
6 - 1
VIT
92%
6%
3%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1952 |
EST
1 - 2
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1952 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
33%
21%
46%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1952 |
SLB
7 - 1
FCB
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1952 |
SAL
2 - 7
SLB
5%
10%
85%
|
88 | 50 | 38 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1952 |
SLB
5 - 0
SPB
87%
9%
5%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1952 |
ORI
1 - 3
SLB
18%
17%
65%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |