Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
2.84
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
4.2%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
3.4%
4-4
1.1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
17.1%
22.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
BEL
1 - 5
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
SCP
4 - 0
ATL
87%
8%
5%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
20%
18%
62%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
SCP
8 - 1
SPC
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
34%
21%
46%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
VIT
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1949 |
OEL
1 - 0
SLB
23%
19%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1949 |
SLB
1 - 1
ACA
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |