Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.2%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.6%
6-4
0.4%
7-5
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
6%
4-3
2.7%
5-4
0.7%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
3.5%
4-4
1.2%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.1%
20.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
POR
1 - 6
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
SCP
6 - 2
EST
83%
10%
7%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
LUS
1 - 4
SCP
5%
10%
85%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
SCP
5 - 2
FCP
79%
12%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
VST
1 - 0
SCP
16%
17%
66%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun. 1948 |
ATL
1 - 2
SLB
25%
19%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1948 |
SLB
6 - 1
OEL
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1948 |
SLB
2 - 0
OLH
85%
9%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1948 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
19%
18%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1948 |
SLB
1 - 2
OEL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |