Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.9%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
4.1%
5-3
1.2%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
15%
15.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
FCP
3 - 1
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
VST
4 - 1
SCP
13%
17%
71%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
68%
16%
17%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 3
FCP
80%
11%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1944 |
FCP
2 - 0
SCP
37%
20%
43%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 1944 |
SLB
6 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 0
EST
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1944 |
SCP
3 - 2
SLB
68%
16%
17%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1944 |
SLB
8 - 0
EST
85%
9%
6%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 1
SLB
36%
20%
44%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |