Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.5%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
6%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
2.2%
5-4
0.5%
6-5
0.1%
+1
18.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.1%
14.3%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
ACA
3 - 5
SCP
12%
16%
72%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
UNI
3 - 7
SCP
28%
21%
52%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
SCP
5 - 1
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1940 |
SCP
3 - 1
BEL
79%
12%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1940 |
BEL
4 - 1
SCP
40%
21%
39%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCB
89%
7%
4%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1941 |
SLB
2 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Dec. 1940 |
BOA
1 - 1
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 1
BEL
73%
14%
13%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 1940 |
FCB
1 - 2
SLB
29%
22%
50%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |