Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
3.21
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.8%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
4.5%
5-3
1.5%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
5.6%
4-3
2.3%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
18.3%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
0.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.9%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
14.4%
15%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
VST
0 - 3
SCP
8%
14%
77%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 3
FCP
68%
15%
17%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
LEX
2 - 9
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 0
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
11 - 2
APO
95%
4%
2%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
3 - 2
CAR
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 64 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
9 - 1
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1940 |
BEL
2 - 0
SLB
38%
21%
41%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1940 |
SLB
7 - 2
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 4
SLB
16%
18%
66%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |