Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
19%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19%
23.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
FCB
2 - 2
SCP
27%
20%
52%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
SCP
6 - 0
APO
90%
7%
4%
|
82 | 62 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
18%
66%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
0 - 4
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 0
APO
86%
9%
5%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1938 |
ACA
1 - 2
SLB
22%
19%
59%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
2 - 1
SLB
47%
21%
32%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 1
FCP
71%
15%
14%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 4
SLB
18%
19%
63%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |