Sporting CP vs Benfica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.1%
23.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
BOA
2 - 2
SCP
40%
21%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
ACA
1 - 6
SCP
27%
20%
53%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
CAR
1 - 2
SCP
36%
21%
43%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1936 |
SCP
3 - 2
FCP
56%
20%
25%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
SCP
2 - 2
FCP
60%
19%
21%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1936 |
ACA
2 - 6
SLB
26%
20%
55%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1936 |
FCP
2 - 2
SLB
61%
18%
21%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1936 |
BEL
3 - 1
SLB
48%
21%
32%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1935 |
APO
1 - 4
SLB
28%
20%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1935 |
SLB
5 - 3
BEL
62%
18%
20%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |