Sporting CP vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
13.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1986 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 57 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
ACA
1 - 4
SCP
18%
27%
56%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
4 - 0
SPB
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
CHA
0 - 0
SCP
18%
22%
61%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
SCP
1 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
86 | 60 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 0
LIX
79%
12%
9%
|
65 | 23 | 42 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1986 |
BEL
2 - 1
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
BEL
1 - 2
ACA
60%
24%
17%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
SPB
0 - 0
BEL
64%
22%
15%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
BEL
4 - 1
CHA
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |