Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Sporting CP vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 1965 |
SCP
4 - 0
ORI
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
ORI
1 - 3
SCP
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
SCP
3 - 1
SPB
77%
15%
9%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
ACA
3 - 0
SCP
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SCP
0 - 0
FAB
73%
16%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1965 |
LGC
1 - 5
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1965 |
BEL
2 - 2
VIT
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1965 |
SEI
0 - 1
BEL
28%
28%
43%
|
73 | 50 | 23 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 2
VST
58%
22%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 1965 |
VAR
0 - 1
BEL
39%
25%
36%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |