Sporting CP vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
3.75
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.2%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.8%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1.8%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
3.3%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
5.3%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
4%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.5%
6.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
7 - 3
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
64%
17%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SCP
12 - 0
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FCP
4 - 2
SCP
66%
16%
18%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
VST
0 - 1
BEL
34%
22%
44%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
BEL
0 - 1
FCP
41%
21%
38%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
APO
2 - 3
BEL
28%
21%
51%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
BEL
9 - 0
LEX
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |