Taça de Portugal Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Sporting CP vs Os Belenenses analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
3.29
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.7%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
4.3%
6-2
1.4%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
12.3%
9.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
31%
21%
48%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
FAR
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
90%
6%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Os Belenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
VIL
0 - 9
BEL
19%
20%
61%
|
78 | 24 | 54 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
BEL
3 - 3
VIL
89%
8%
4%
|
78 | 23 | 55 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
BEL
7 - 2
APO
80%
12%
9%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 0
BEL
81%
11%
8%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |