Sporting CP vs AVS Futebol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.1%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.7%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.3%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.3%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.6%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.6%
8.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
8.6%
4.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
1º
3º
1º
7
9º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
18 | 75 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
15 | 71 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 69 |
3º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
11 | 68 |
4º
|
24.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 60 |
5º
|
34% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 51 |
6º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 50 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 46 |
8º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 43 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
7 | 43 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
7 | 40 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
15º
|
5 | 38 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 38 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
14º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 37 |
15º
|
13% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 31 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 26 |
17º
|
30% | |
|
|
12º
|
7 | 25 |
18º
|
36% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
53% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
22.5% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
6% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
6% | 26% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 59% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ARO
0 - 3
SCP
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2024 |
FAR
0 - 5
SCP
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 6
SCP
20%
22%
59%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AVS Futebol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
RIO
23%
30%
47%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
VIT
12%
22%
66%
|
59 | 85 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GFC
4 - 2
AVE
61%
24%
15%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
NAC
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | +1 |