Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 6-4
Sporting CP vs Atalanta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
3.09
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 0
SCP
26%
23%
51%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 0
VIT
87%
9%
4%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1963 |
SLB
0 - 2
SCP
65%
17%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
0 - 1
SLB
62%
18%
20%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 2
MAX
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
MES
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
1 - 0
ROM
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FIO
4 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |