Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 18-1
Sporting CP vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.8%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1963 |
FAB
4 - 0
SCP
21%
22%
57%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
SCP
4 - 1
LGC
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1963 |
SCP
3 - 0
SEI
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1963 |
VIT
1 - 1
SCP
25%
23%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1963 |
SCP
3 - 1
ATL
85%
10%
5%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1963 |
GJO
0 - 1
APO
38%
21%
41%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1963 |
APO
6 - 0
GJO
69%
16%
16%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |