Sporting CP vs FC Alverca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
14.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
9.6%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
BEL
3 - 0
SCP
19%
23%
58%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2001 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
SCP
1 - 0
MAR
65%
21%
14%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
CAM
1 - 0
SCP
12%
20%
68%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2001 |
FCP
0 - 1
SCP
61%
20%
19%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
FC Alverca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 0
PAÇ
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2001 |
ALV
2 - 1
CAM
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2001 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
ALV
54%
24%
21%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2001 |
ALV
0 - 3
BEL
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2001 |
SLB
0 - 2
ALV
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | +2 |