Europa League 1/32
Global 6-3
Sporting CP vs Ajax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1988 |
SPB
0 - 0
SCP
16%
24%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1988 |
SCP
0 - 0
BMA
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
LEX
0 - 2
SCP
10%
23%
67%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 1988 |
SCP
7 - 0
PEN
82%
13%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1988 |
SAL
2 - 4
SCP
13%
24%
63%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ajax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1988 |
TWE
2 - 1
AJA
20%
24%
56%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1988 |
AJA
2 - 1
SPA
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1988 |
AJA
4 - 0
BVV
95%
4%
1%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1988 |
FOR
2 - 1
AJA
18%
24%
59%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1988 |
KVM
1 - 0
AJA
43%
24%
33%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | -1 |