Sporting CP vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
93.8%
Win probability
4.72
Expected goals
10-0
0.7%
+10
0.7%
9-0
1.4%
10-1
0.5%
+9
1.9%
8-0
2.7%
9-1
1%
10-2
0.2%
+8
3.8%
7-0
4.5%
8-1
1.9%
9-2
0.4%
10-3
<0%
+7
6.8%
6-0
6.7%
7-1
3.2%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
10.7%
5-0
8.5%
6-1
4.8%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
14.6%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
17.1%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
8.1%
3.7%
Draw
0-0
0.4%
1-1
1.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
3.7%
1.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
0.3%
1-2
0.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
1.2%
0-2
0.1%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
6 - 1
ACA
92%
5%
3%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
7 - 3
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
64%
17%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1940 |
APO
1 - 5
SLB
8%
14%
78%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 0
LEX
63%
18%
19%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
APO
0 - 1
FCB
58%
20%
22%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
APO
2 - 3
BEL
28%
21%
51%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | 0 |