Sporting CP vs Academico do Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
4.02
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
6.7%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
0.9%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.6%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
6.7%
Draw
0-0
0.8%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.7%
3.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
CAR
1 - 3
SCP
16%
18%
66%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
ACA
0 - 4
SCP
19%
18%
64%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
SCP
2 - 1
BEL
65%
17%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
63%
18%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
SLB
3 - 2
SCP
69%
16%
15%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Academico do Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 4
FCP
22%
19%
59%
|
63 | 82 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1938 |
APO
0 - 4
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 1938 |
APO
1 - 5
ACA
71%
16%
13%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 1938 |
BEL
1 - 0
APO
82%
11%
7%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1938 |
FCB
1 - 1
APO
62%
19%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |