Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.3%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
13.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
MAR
2 - 3
SCP
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1979 |
SCP
5 - 1
BEL
75%
17%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
FAF
0 - 1
SCP
21%
24%
56%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
SPB
1 - 1
SCP
26%
27%
48%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1979 |
SCP
2 - 0
FAM
82%
13%
6%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 0
BOA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
VAR
1 - 1
ACA
64%
23%
13%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
ACA
0 - 0
VST
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 3
MAR
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1979 |
ACA
1 - 2
BOA
45%
24%
31%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |