Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1968 |
ZUR
3 - 0
SCP
47%
24%
30%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SAN
0 - 3
SCP
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
SCP
4 - 0
FAB
76%
16%
9%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
TIR
3 - 5
SCP
17%
22%
62%
|
84 | 56 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
SCP
3 - 2
LEX
74%
17%
10%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1968 |
SPB
1 - 1
ACA
28%
24%
47%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
3 - 0
SAN
79%
13%
8%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1968 |
FAB
0 - 3
ACA
26%
26%
48%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1968 |
ACA
4 - 1
TIR
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1968 |
ACA
2 - 1
LEX
80%
13%
7%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |