Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.4%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.5%
4-0
9%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.6%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.4%
4.7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
SPC
0 - 2
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
SCP
4 - 1
OLH
84%
10%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
SAL
1 - 1
SCP
22%
24%
54%
|
88 | 55 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
SCP
5 - 0
LEX
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
BEL
0 - 1
SCP
33%
24%
44%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
7 - 1
BMA
48%
23%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
VIT
3 - 0
ACA
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 1
FAB
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ATL
3 - 0
ACA
61%
21%
19%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
FCP
27%
24%
49%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | -1 |