Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.1%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
SCP
1 - 0
FAB
79%
13%
9%
|
87 | 67 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
LGC
0 - 3
SCP
25%
24%
51%
|
87 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 3
SCP
28%
24%
49%
|
87 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
SCP
3 - 1
LEX
91%
6%
3%
|
87 | 55 | 32 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
SAL
1 - 7
SCP
22%
23%
56%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
20%
22%
59%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
FAB
2 - 0
ACA
57%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
FCB
0 - 2
ACA
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 0
LGC
66%
19%
15%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
ACA
0 - 1
BEL
28%
24%
48%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | -1 |