Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.2%
Win probability
4.03
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.6%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
6.6%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.4%
6.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.8%
3.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jul. 1953 |
SCP
4 - 1
VCF
75%
13%
11%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1953 |
ACM
4 - 3
SCP
57%
19%
25%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1953 |
SCP
2 - 2
LGC
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
30%
21%
49%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 1953 |
ACA
1 - 2
SCP
30%
21%
49%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1953 |
SCP
3 - 0
ACA
89%
7%
4%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ACA
0 - 1
SCP
23%
20%
57%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
LGC
1 - 1
ACA
58%
20%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1953 |
VST
2 - 2
ACA
56%
21%
23%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |