Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85%
Win probability
3.87
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.4%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.4%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.9%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
5.8%
5-0
5%
6-1
3.6%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
9.9%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
5.5%
6-2
2%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
7.1%
5-2
3%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
8.7%
6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
0.8%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
BEL
4 - 3
SCP
35%
22%
44%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1951 |
ATM
3 - 1
SCP
60%
17%
23%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
6 - 4
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 1951 |
LIL
1 - 1
SCP
41%
21%
38%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
BEL
2 - 1
SCP
37%
21%
42%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 1951 |
ACA
1 - 0
ATL
56%
20%
24%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 1951 |
SLB
5 - 1
ACA
86%
9%
6%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1951 |
ACA
3 - 0
BEL
54%
20%
26%
|
66 | 82 | 16 | +2 |
| 27 May. 1951 |
BEL
3 - 3
ACA
75%
14%
11%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
VIT
0 - 0
ACA
58%
18%
24%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |