Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.8%
Win probability
4.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.6%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.8%
8-0
1.3%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.9%
7-0
2.5%
8-1
1.2%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.9%
6-0
4.3%
7-1
2.3%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7.2%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.9%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.5%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
5.8%
6-2
1.8%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.7%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.5%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
6.9%
3.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
0.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
6 - 1
BEL
77%
13%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
6 - 0
VIT
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
5 - 4
SCP
48%
20%
32%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 0
FCP
82%
11%
8%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SCP
2 - 2
ATL
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
FCP
40%
20%
40%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
1 - 3
BEL
26%
20%
55%
|
60 | 84 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1944 |
VST
2 - 0
ACA
59%
19%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 1944 |
ACA
3 - 2
VIT
69%
15%
16%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 1944 |
SLB
2 - 1
ACA
87%
8%
5%
|
61 | 85 | 24 | -1 |