Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.7%
Win probability
3.94
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.6%
8-0
1%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.6%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.3%
6-0
3.7%
7-1
2.1%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
6.3%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
3.7%
7-2
1.1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
10.5%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.4%
8-4
<0%
+4
15%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.9%
6-3
0.6%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.5%
8%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
0.1%
0
8%
5.1%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
3-6
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
SCP
4 - 3
UNI
94%
4%
2%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
FCP
2 - 2
SCP
46%
20%
34%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
22%
19%
60%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1942 |
VIT
2 - 1
SCP
27%
20%
54%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1942 |
SCP
4 - 0
SLB
74%
13%
13%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
2 - 4
BEL
41%
21%
39%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
8 - 2
LEX
89%
7%
4%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1943 |
ACA
7 - 2
FAB
70%
15%
15%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
4 - 2
ACA
22%
20%
59%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 1942 |
LIS
3 - 3
ACA
21%
20%
60%
|
71 | 44 | 27 | 0 |