Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
91.3%
Win probability
4.39
Expected goals
10-0
0.4%
+10
0.4%
9-0
0.9%
10-1
0.3%
+9
1.2%
8-0
1.8%
9-1
0.8%
10-2
0.1%
+8
2.7%
7-0
3.3%
8-1
1.5%
9-2
0.3%
10-3
<0%
+7
5.2%
6-0
5.2%
7-1
2.8%
8-2
0.7%
9-3
0.1%
+6
8.8%
5-0
7.2%
6-1
4.5%
7-2
1.2%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
13.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
6.1%
6-2
1.9%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
16.6%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
2.3%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
10.4%
5.3%
Draw
0-0
0.5%
1-1
2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
5.3%
2.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
0.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 1
BEL
84%
10%
7%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
7 - 3
FCB
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
SCP
4 - 0
CAR
94%
4%
2%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
SLB
1 - 3
SCP
64%
17%
19%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
SCP
12 - 0
VST
91%
6%
3%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 2
APO
79%
12%
9%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
5 - 0
VST
61%
18%
21%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1940 |
ACA
2 - 2
BEL
35%
20%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1940 |
LEX
3 - 3
ACA
54%
21%
25%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1940 |
FCB
2 - 0
ACA
51%
21%
28%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |