Taça de Portugal Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Sporting CP vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.59
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
5%
5-0
5.1%
6-1
3%
7-2
0.8%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
5%
6-2
1.5%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
8%
4-1
7%
5-2
2.5%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.5%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
6.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
SCP
1 - 1
BEL
78%
12%
10%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1939 |
BEL
1 - 3
SCP
43%
21%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
FAR
1 - 2
SCP
31%
21%
48%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
FAR
83%
10%
7%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
SCP
2 - 1
FCB
90%
6%
3%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1939 |
APO
1 - 2
ACA
57%
19%
25%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 3
APO
67%
17%
17%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 May. 1939 |
SPC
2 - 3
ACA
57%
20%
24%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1939 |
ACA
5 - 1
SPC
58%
19%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Apr. 1939 |
ACA
4 - 0
CAS
81%
12%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |