Copa del Rey 1/16
Global 3-2
Real Sporting vs Real Valladolid analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
25%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 2
ATH
26%
24%
50%
|
69 | 87 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
SEV
3 - 0
SPO
73%
15%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
SPO
0 - 1
GRA
63%
20%
17%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
RSO
0 - 0
SPO
70%
17%
13%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
SPO
2 - 1
VCF
35%
25%
39%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1959 |
BAR
3 - 1
VAD
29%
26%
45%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1959 |
VAD
5 - 0
TER
82%
11%
7%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1959 |
ALA
3 - 1
VAD
30%
26%
45%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1959 |
VAD
3 - 2
RCF
81%
12%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1959 |
RAY
2 - 1
VAD
24%
26%
50%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | -1 |