Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-5
Real Sporting vs Las Palmas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
19.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ELC
1 - 2
SPO
46%
26%
27%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
ATH
1 - 0
SPO
68%
19%
13%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
UDL
3 - 0
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
SPO
3 - 2
BUR
66%
20%
15%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
RMA
3 - 2
SPO
72%
17%
11%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1978 |
ATM
2 - 1
UDL
68%
19%
13%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1978 |
UDL
0 - 0
FCB
47%
26%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1978 |
UDL
3 - 0
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1978 |
BET
1 - 2
UDL
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 1978 |
UDL
1 - 1
RSO
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |