Real Sporting vs SG Lucense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
3.36
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
4.6%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.5%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
1.2%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.1%
7.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SPO
6 - 1
OSA
80%
12%
8%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
SAB
2 - 4
SPO
58%
20%
23%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SPO
3 - 1
BAD
76%
13%
11%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
ORE
1 - 1
SPO
34%
24%
42%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
SPO
3 - 2
GIM
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1950 |
SGL
5 - 1
SDE
58%
20%
23%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1950 |
OSA
4 - 1
SGL
79%
12%
9%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1950 |
SGL
0 - 1
BAR
35%
22%
43%
|
42 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1950 |
SAB
4 - 2
SGL
87%
8%
5%
|
43 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1950 |
GIR
2 - 1
SGL
76%
13%
11%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |