Copa del Rey Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Real Sporting vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.1%
7.1%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
BUR
0 - 3
SPO
29%
29%
41%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
SPO
2 - 0
ESP
73%
17%
11%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
SPO
2 - 0
RAY
77%
14%
9%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
SPO
0 - 0
HER
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
RSO
4 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 0
ALA
70%
19%
11%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1980 |
CEL
1 - 1
RMC
55%
24%
21%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1980 |
RMC
2 - 0
RSO
30%
26%
44%
|
68 | 86 | 18 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
RMC
1 - 1
GRA
74%
18%
9%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
ALG
3 - 3
RMC
33%
30%
37%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |